Crazy-Gender
0xe292943c1d291ef696e58bea53a5cab43b5c2791
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 1?
133 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
88 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?
42 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-4.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$5.10Jun 5, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?$5.18Jun 5, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$8.62Jun 5, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$10.37Jun 4, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?$10.35Jun 2, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 1?$5.19Jun 1, 16:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $7.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 16:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 15:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.