Spiffy-Clergyman
0xe293cc89f1b607895e20341e855677768e8e5a85
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$6.04
Total PnL
$-33.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.00 in January?$1.00Jan 15, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Jan 15, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Jan 15, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.01Jan 15, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?$1.01Jan 15, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.01Jan 15, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?$1.01Jan 15, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?$1.01Jan 15, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $220 in December?$1.01Jan 15, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 6, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?$1.00Dec 12, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 11, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?$1.01Dec 10, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Dec 9, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Dec 9, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.01Dec 9, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?$1.00Dec 8, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $220 in December?$1.00Dec 6, 02:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 02:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.