Joyful-Leprosy
0xe298677ec13fdf48fa2028d4bc05e4f8fcf05ef8
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$47.48
Total PnL
$-7.01
Realised
$-8.25
Win rate
16%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
15 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
7 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$7.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.76
$0.14
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.53
$0.04
- NO
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.27
$0.01
- NO
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.23
$0.04
- NO
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.10
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.06
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.11
- NO
Will the Golden Knights win the 2025 Preident's Trophy?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$1.15
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$7.00Oct 5, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$15.00Oct 5, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.1KSep 17, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.1KSep 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$2.9KSep 17, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$2.9KSep 17, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?$0.99May 21, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?$20.46Apr 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$15.94Apr 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$17.33Apr 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$23.65Apr 4, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?$16.95Apr 4, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$25.61Apr 4, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$20.00Mar 26, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$25.00Mar 26, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?$18.00Mar 26, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$27.00Mar 26, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?$22.00Mar 26, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$17.00Mar 26, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$19.32Mar 26, 22:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $224.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 5, 16:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".