Legal-Transmission
0xe2a232edd428a7e94d583ef79131fe7aa573f3e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.3K
Realised
$130.60
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
1792 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-304.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
655 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-172.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9AM ET
600 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-474.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
544 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-380.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
499 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-75.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
456 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-226.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
400 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
397 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-163.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5AM ET
390 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-202.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8AM ET
383 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-163.68
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.26Feb 17, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$10.96Feb 16, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$11.50Feb 16, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$6.93Feb 16, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$5.38Feb 16, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$56.69Feb 16, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.83Feb 16, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.03Feb 16, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.14Feb 16, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$58.60Feb 16, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$47.57Feb 16, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$2.00Feb 16, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.19Feb 16, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.75Feb 16, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.27Feb 16, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.01Feb 16, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.07Feb 16, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$5.29Feb 16, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.58Feb 16, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$0.42Feb 16, 10:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $14.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 07:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 01:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.