Pertinent-Criminal
0xe2a263a6739d43df14b5b901c49ad03e928ee38f
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$30.00
Total PnL
$-207.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-24?
30 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$30.00
$7.20
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
8147 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-49.99
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
124 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
120 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. PSV end in a draw?
72 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?
44 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will PSV win on 2026-01-24?
30 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-21.90
- YES
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-27?
26 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
24 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win on 2026-01-24?$21.90Jan 24, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-24?$22.80Jan 24, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?$6.02Jan 2, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.45Jan 2, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$31.25Jan 2, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$3.00Dec 10, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 10, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 10, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$15.00Dec 10, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?$5.00Dec 10, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?$5.00Dec 10, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 10, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?$9.41Dec 10, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?$11.76Dec 10, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?$8.00Dec 9, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?$8.00Dec 9, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-06?$5.88Dec 9, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-06?$15.15Dec 9, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?$21.05Dec 9, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-06?$5.00Dec 6, 17:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $13.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 21:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 14:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.