Mountainous-Terminal
0xe2a2bc8fc236f1e0715428d8865245220f42eca0
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$423.75
Total PnL
$-103.44
Realised
$-26.84
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
489 shares @ 33.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$119.79
$-41.56
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$51.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
208 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.78
$-3.12
- NO
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
100 shares @ 47.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$42.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 17.5¢·now 17.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.66
$-0.34
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.64
$4.64
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
75 shares @ 26.7¢·now 27.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.20
$0.20
- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
42 shares @ 43.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.99
$1.89
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$17.86
$-2.14
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.08
$-2.92
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: April$0.223h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$36.1516h ago
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$2.7616h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$36.0016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$62.991d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$20.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$102.681d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$20.591d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$20.691d ago
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: April$5.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$13.611d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$16.911d ago
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.501d ago
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$16.941d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$20.001d ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$21.321d ago
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$8.541d ago
- TRADESELLNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning $167.751d ago
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$29.822d ago
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning $86.502d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $24.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".