Elated-Public
0xe2a54857caba7e48bba3a579eda75c10e785bd9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$16.91
Total PnL
$-5.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1223 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.40
$-4.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 10?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.16
$0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.15
$0.05
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.11
$0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$1.04
$0.01
- NO
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.03
$0.01
- YES
Will "China" or "Chinese" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$1.03
$0.02
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
1 shares @ 94.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "China" or "Chinese" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$1.01Jun 10, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?$1.05Jun 10, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?$1.02Jun 10, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.03Jun 10, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 10?$1.04Jun 10, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?$1.10Jun 10, 06:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$15.26May 28, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$1.06May 25, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $8.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 06:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.