Thick-Fender
0xe2a7f960c84fabb04cf0d25533c5f130eaca3346
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$8.25
Total PnL
$-2.76
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.08
$-0.01
- NO
Will Solana dip to $10 in June?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.06
$-0.00
- NO
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.06
$-0.00
- NO
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.03
$-0.03
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on June 14?$1.05Jun 14, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 13?$1.01Jun 13, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.01Jun 13, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $10 in June?$3.32Jun 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in June?$4.40Jun 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$5.39Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$6.50Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$6.42Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$7.50Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?$7.58Jun 13, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?$8.65Jun 13, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 13?$8.95Jun 13, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 13?$10.00Jun 13, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?$10.53Jun 13, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?$11.60Jun 13, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on June 14?$11.32Jun 13, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on June 14?$12.40Jun 13, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on April 29?$1.05May 7, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $6.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 05:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 15:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.