Tremendous-Spine
0xe2b624c48038d9e475145e9b952a2e144e63e854
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$-55.24
Win rate
4%
197 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 29?
1994 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Portugal?
1250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 13?
1222 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-181.94
- TEAM FALCONS
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 1 Winner
1117 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 12?
884 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-345.16
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 27?
595 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-154.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?
569 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?
528 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-63.23
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on August 17?
436 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-62.00
- DOWN
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 31?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$41.59Aug 18, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 6PM ET$12.53Aug 17, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6PM ET$20.90Aug 17, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5PM ET$1.07Aug 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$20.73Aug 17, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5PM ET$21.10Aug 17, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 4PM ET$20.46Aug 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 4PM ET$25.70Aug 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?$10.44Aug 17, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 4PM ET$14.73Aug 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 3PM ET$14.74Aug 17, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$15.83Aug 17, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12PM ET$20.90Aug 17, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 11AM ET$3.74Aug 17, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$9.20Aug 17, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$5.66Aug 17, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on August 17?$6.39Aug 17, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 17?$29.12Aug 17, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs$3.97Aug 17, 13:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 197 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
197 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $19.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 197 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.