Warlike-Traveler
0xe2b7dfe6af3109279bc004f3b4750f67460cb034
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$85.35
Total PnL
$12.83
Realised
$1.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
32 shares @ 73.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.99
$8.47
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
20 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$8.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
11 shares @ 87.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$11.40
$1.40
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
10 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.00
$2.10
- YES
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.00
$1.20
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.95
$-0.55
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
7 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.62
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$8.80Apr 10, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$3.50Apr 10, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$7.90Apr 10, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$12.00Apr 10, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?$10.00Apr 10, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 27?$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$0.00Mar 31, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 09:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 20:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.