Primary-Cappuccino
0xe2bca39271b2308d1cfd8a564da4d8475155d741
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-248.64
Realised
$-49.84
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 26?
245 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?
200 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?
196 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 8?
140 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 20?
129 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?
114 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-110.48
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 24?
96 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?
76 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.42
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on March 19?
68 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-18.54
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24?
67 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.47
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 29?$197.55Jul 29, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 29?$0.22Jul 28, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 29?$194.37Jul 28, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 26?$1.78Jul 25, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 14-20?$2.16Jul 20, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 8?$2.23Jul 8, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?$185.38Jul 3, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?$182.97Jul 3, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 26?$2.85May 25, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 1?$41.96May 25, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?$1.68May 24, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 24?$1.65May 24, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$233.57May 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$230.30May 18, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 12?$44.74May 18, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 28?$207.69May 9, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 28?$0.55Apr 28, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 28?$205.69Apr 28, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?$146.13Apr 28, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on February 1?$0.00Apr 19, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $68.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 21:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.