Cold-Stake
0xe2c77946f1ba1b1a198d8655d03edcdd577271fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$17.31
Total PnL
$-20.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 8?
17 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$17.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Trump say "Through the roof" during Hungary PM events on November 7?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?
63 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
16 shares @ 98.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-16.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Through the roof" during Hungary PM events on November 7?$1.00Nov 7, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 8?$17.00Nov 7, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$16.11Nov 6, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$1.00Nov 5, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$5.04Nov 5, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $150 in October?$10.01Nov 5, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 4?$10.01Nov 5, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$13.51Nov 5, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$13.71Nov 5, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$29.63Nov 5, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$5.00Nov 4, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 4?$10.00Nov 4, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $150 in October?$10.00Oct 31, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$13.00Oct 30, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$1.00Oct 30, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$13.25Oct 30, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$29.33Oct 29, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?$1.50Oct 29, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $9.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 20:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.