Admired-Revolver
0xe2d02112416a1a4e620e0e57d808f86db913a4d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.66
Total PnL
$-686.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Arnav win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition?
240 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-37.20
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?
165 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-116.85
- NO
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?
93 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-09?
89 shares @ 62.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-55.44
- YES
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-06?
61 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-49.73
- YES
Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-14?
61 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-33.30
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?
42 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?
40 shares @ 62.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Russia win on 2025-11-12?
39 shares @ 76.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$15.45Jul 19, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$2.05Jul 15, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$451.02Jul 15, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?$1.02May 3, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 3, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$301.48May 2, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$42.48May 2, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$95.69May 2, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$2.00May 2, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?$1.27May 2, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?$4.47May 2, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?$9.98May 2, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21?$9.98Apr 22, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?$2.00Apr 22, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?$1.00Apr 22, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?$9.50Apr 19, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21?$9.20Apr 19, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWuning: Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgren$10.00Apr 12, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMFC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5$10.00Apr 12, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5$10.00Apr 12, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $51.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.