Both-Pinto
0xe2d687e34516a745538ee02fc76fb47868fd09f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-630.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
1400 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
944 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
758 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-75.77
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
633 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
531 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-59.72
- WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Houston Cougars
260 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-28.57
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$10.00May 21, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$10.00Feb 19, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$3.71Jan 30, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.14Jan 30, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.08Jan 30, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.07Jan 30, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$0.07Jan 30, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$0.08Jan 30, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50PLUS be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.05Jan 30, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$0.04Jan 30, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.06Jan 30, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel or the US target Tehran?$0.06Jan 30, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$0.02Jan 30, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.01Jan 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?$0.01Jan 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$0.38Jan 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?$0.33Jan 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$0.71Jan 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.33Jan 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?$1.27Jan 30, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.