Gleeful-Brace
0xe2e3958dc9a4656ba90eaa6f28ee7a7122f65897
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
163
Open notional
$529.23
Total PnL
$128.35
Realised
$169.37
Win rate
57%
109 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 163- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 15?
15 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$14.99
$0.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 15?
15 shares @ 53.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$14.85
$6.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 77°F or below on July 16?
15 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$14.78
$0.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 15?
13 shares @ 69.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$13.36
$4.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 15?
13 shares @ 32.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$13.27
$8.93
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 16?
15 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$12.97
$0.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 16?
14 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$12.80
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 17?
15 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$12.67
$0.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?
15 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$12.52
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 16?
15 shares @ 86.1¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$11.71
$-1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 16?$1.60Jul 15, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 16?$0.62Jul 15, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 16?$4.05Jul 15, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?$0.42Jul 15, 23:24 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 16?$1.05Jul 15, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 16?$4.50Jul 15, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 16?$0.48Jul 15, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?$3.62Jul 15, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 16?$0.23Jul 15, 23:21 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?$3.78Jul 15, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?$8.53Jul 15, 23:19 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 16?$3.11Jul 15, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 16?$2.26Jul 15, 23:16 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 16?$1.14Jul 15, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 16?$0.14Jul 15, 23:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 16?$14.99Jul 15, 23:15 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 16?$5.57Jul 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 16?$13.95Jul 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 16?$4.29Jul 15, 23:14 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?$15.00Jul 15, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
79/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 109 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
109 closed markets, 57% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 22:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 23:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 109 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.