Bright-Molar
0xe2f018a89b1d57f2bd4cd6fc2eb65860072578cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-112.62
Win rate
72%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
10500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 2AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9PM ET
271 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-99.42
- UNDER
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5
260 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will "Good" be said 20+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)
213 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UNDER
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 2.5
167 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
164 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- OVER
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5
123 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
115 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5$65.60Jun 14, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)$5.12Jun 5, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-6.5)$5.12Jun 5, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5$20.28Jun 5, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYVictor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5$15.21Jun 5, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-6.5)$20.29Jun 5, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5$53.51Jun 2, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5$15.20Jun 2, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$5.26Jun 2, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels$15.03Jun 2, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels$10.17Jun 2, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLKansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5$15.46Jun 2, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5$30.40Jun 2, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5$10.11Jun 2, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLDetroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$40.50Jun 2, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$60.72Jun 1, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$50.70Jun 1, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5$70.90Jun 1, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5$42.57Jun 1, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5$60.58May 31, 23:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
72% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $73.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 20:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.