Creepy-Anarchist
0xe2f067a5e29d64bb25fac4cbb41f0ac9c9044fd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$47.23
Total PnL
$-22.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6978 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.42
$-3.49
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
118 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
11 shares @ 61.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$7.97
$0.97
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27Jun 26, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.10Jun 26, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$7.08Jun 26, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.30Jun 26, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$5.49Jun 26, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$5.16Jun 26, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.56Jun 26, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.04Jun 26, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.35Jun 26, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.35Jun 26, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.35Jun 26, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.74Jun 25, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $7.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 15:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.