Glamorous-Thermals
0xe2fbe8d6a95e83e217474c4452e177d089834853
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$17.17
Total PnL
$-9.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$8.57
$5.57
- YES
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2023$4.44
$2.44
- NO
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2023$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2023$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023?
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15?$2.00Dec 18, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 20?$0.90Dec 18, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween?$3.13Nov 9, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift break up by Nov 1?$0.00Nov 9, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?$2.00Oct 28, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend?$2.00Oct 28, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)$2.00Oct 28, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023?$3.00Oct 28, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Biden both win nomination?$3.00Oct 26, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?$1.00Oct 26, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift break up by Nov 1?$1.00Oct 26, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTottenham vs. Palace $0.50Oct 26, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30?$2.00Oct 26, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?$2.00Oct 26, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ETH hit $2,000 by EOY?$5.00Oct 26, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31?$2.00Oct 26, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween?$3.00Oct 26, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".