Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-11.5K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
4401 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025
$0.00
$-2.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2420 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2360 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2360 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2340 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2330 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.1K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2290 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.1K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2290 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025
$0.00
$-1.1K

Recent activity

REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.02Dec 5, 03:53 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.00Nov 28, 07:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.4KNov 18, 04:03 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.1KNov 18, 03:37 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.3KNov 18, 03:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.2KNov 18, 03:05 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$2.2KNov 18, 03:02 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Nov 18, 03:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$31.16Nov 18, 02:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$3.00Nov 18, 02:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$4.66Nov 18, 02:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$4.86Nov 18, 02:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.1KNov 18, 02:54 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.2KNov 18, 02:52 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.4KNov 18, 02:48 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.1KNov 18, 02:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$46.06Nov 18, 02:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.1KNov 18, 02:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$2.3KNov 18, 02:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$622.71Nov 18, 02:39 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk61 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 41
Avg trade size: $394.80
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Nov 18, 01:22 UTC
Last active: Dec 5, 03:53 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 20:11:23 UTC·src:Polymarket Data