Spicy-Bean
0xe30304f6e61eda317da3b0f57413cd7f345e1c16
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$23.10
Total PnL
$2.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
8 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$7.69
$0.69
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
6 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$6.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$5.88
$0.88
- NO
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$3.30
$0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?$3.00Jul 25, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$5.00Jul 25, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMMetaMask airdrop in Q2 2025?$3.52Jul 25, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by May 31?$6.01Jul 25, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$6.45Jul 25, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by May 31?$6.00May 25, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$6.00May 25, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$7.36May 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$7.33Mar 27, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$6.33Mar 27, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetaMask airdrop in Q2 2025?$3.40Mar 27, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$7.00Mar 27, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.02Mar 27, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31?$6.02Mar 27, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by January 31, 2025?$7.04Mar 27, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill BSW win the most seats in the next German election?$10.02Mar 27, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BSW win the most seats in the next German election?$10.00Jan 21, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by January 31, 2025?$7.00Jan 21, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31?$6.00Jan 21, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$2.00Jan 21, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 02:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 08:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.