Frail-Tortoise
0xe304733a628cf077c7c439f390b6bc29607c4261
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.06
Realised
$1.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
700 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
671 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10AM ET
217 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
148 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
120 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
86 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
82 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$2.00Apr 4, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1.18Apr 4, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$2.15Mar 17, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.22Mar 17, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.40Mar 17, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2.41Mar 17, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.31Mar 17, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.21Mar 17, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.53Mar 17, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 12:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 20:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".