Bogus-Shorts
0xe306bb3ca5c7f3cf7e92870280cef7044e329be0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
161
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-769.36
Realised
$17.08
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 161- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 21?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 20?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 17?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 20?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on February 19?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 19?
7912 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.82
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 24?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 23?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 22?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 21?
3258 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-13.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.07May 28, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.05May 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.42May 28, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.02May 28, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.05May 28, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.25May 28, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?$1.75May 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?$5.64May 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?$6.18May 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?$2.08May 28, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$8.85May 28, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$8.23May 25, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$0.83May 24, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.03May 24, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$5.14May 23, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.03May 23, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$10.28May 23, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on May 25?$10.44May 23, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 24?$10.40May 22, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?$10.38May 22, 16:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 18:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 17:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.