Likely-Submitter
0xe3164027a2be859579fcd84fce34513f0bc9bcf9
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$18.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- SWITZERLAND
Spread: Qatar (-1.5)
197 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$196.57
$3.25
- UNDER
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5
141 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$141.35
$1.06
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13?
141 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$141.04
$0.21
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?
141 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$140.68
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?
141 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$140.68
$2.46
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
141 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$140.40
$-0.07
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
140 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$140.20
$0.07
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
140 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$139.64
$0.21
- NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
132 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$131.61
$4.81
- NO
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
132 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$131.61
$1.78
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$140.75Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 13?$0.97Jun 13, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13?$140.00Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5$56.96Jun 13, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13?$30.09Jun 13, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?$141.12Jun 13, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$74.13Jun 13, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5$20.83Jun 13, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5$20.83Jun 13, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5$20.83Jun 13, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5$20.83Jun 13, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5$95.87Jun 13, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?$138.22Jun 13, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13?$112.85Jun 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13?$9.05Jun 13, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13?$9.96Jun 13, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13?$8.96Jun 13, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?$140.47Jun 13, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$140.48Jun 13, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Qatar (-1.5)$96.66Jun 13, 09:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $58.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 20:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.