0xe316f354517f14344aaac402e1366323bbc71766
0xe316f354517f14344aaac402e1366323bbc71766
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$499.65
Total PnL
$-92.55
Realised
$-58.36
Win rate
30%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
97 shares @ 86.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$97.01
$12.80
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
61 shares @ 95.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$61.26
$2.57
- NO
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
58 shares @ 97.5¢·now 85.7¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$49.33
$-6.81
- NO
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
33 shares @ 92.3¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$32.07
$1.17
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
33 shares @ 67.2¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.06
$3.17
- NO
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
25 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.99
$1.24
- NO
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
24 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.10
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
18 shares @ 66.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$18.38
$6.10
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
18 shares @ 78.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$17.87
$3.81
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
18 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$17.72
$0.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.50Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.50Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.84Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.52Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.50Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.50Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.50Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$3.97Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.50Jun 14, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.37Jun 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.23Jun 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.14Jun 14, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$1.44Jun 14, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$1.50Jun 14, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.34Jun 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.54Jun 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.34Jun 13, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.54Jun 13, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.94Jun 13, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.54Jun 13, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 10:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.