Reasonable-Safari
0xe3185d1f99c2d7a637e4528c1d29fbcbb4293484
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.67
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New Jersey Presidential Election?
149 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Florida Presidential Election?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Hawaii Presidential Election?
121 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in October?
116 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?
103 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Virginia Presidential Election?
102 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Maine Presidential Election?
98 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMPistons vs. Raptors$70.00Feb 17, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Raptors$39.20Feb 10, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maine Presidential Election?$0.10Nov 6, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win New Jersey Presidential Election?$0.15Nov 3, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.06Oct 31, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in October?$0.12Oct 31, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Hawaii Presidential Election?$0.12Oct 31, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Florida Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 30, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?$0.11Oct 30, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?$0.14Oct 30, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vasile Tarlev win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?$0.15Oct 30, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?$0.10Oct 30, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 275-299 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$0.11Oct 30, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win North Dakota Presidential Election?$0.06Oct 30, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Wyoming Presidential Election?$0.16Oct 30, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$0.14Oct 30, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.18Oct 30, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump sentenced to between 24 and 35 months prison time?$0.11Oct 30, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win New Jersey Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 30, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to between 24 and 35 months prison time?$0.11Oct 16, 15:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $33.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 16:47 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 10:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".