Pungent-Shallot
0xe324434dbf72e372ad9de18e73bfb3aec7751e2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-161.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 5?
231 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?
200 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on March 2?
199 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 4?
138 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 6?
138 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 5?
119 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.09
- YES
Will "Fall" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
115 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 27?
115 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 11?
97 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
93 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 21?$3.32Jul 21, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 17?$188.17Jul 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 17?$186.66Jul 16, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 12?$3.76Jul 11, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 11?$2.99Jul 10, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 5?$3.21Jul 5, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13?$2.02Jun 12, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 31?$198.46Jun 1, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 31?$195.88May 31, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 27?$1.47May 26, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$2.71May 22, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)$18.00May 22, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 19?$3.52May 19, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 1?$37.06May 16, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?$2.45May 14, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on May 9?$151.93May 9, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on May 9?$0.19May 9, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on May 9?$148.25May 9, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 25?$121.22May 9, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.00May 2, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $46.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 02:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 01:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.