Definite-Establishment
0xe324c3d72a13b757ffae1992a9f1aac5b0001f29
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$8.71
Total PnL
$-13.6K
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
61 shares @ 6.8¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.70
$1.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 4?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 58°F or higher on February 5?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 4?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2040 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1990 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-995.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
1990 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-995.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
1980 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-990.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
1920 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-960.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.15Mar 23, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.06Feb 5, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 4?$1.00Feb 5, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 58°F or higher on February 5?$1.00Feb 5, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 4?$1.00Feb 5, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.06Jan 7, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$2.0KDec 6, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$9.80Dec 6, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$10.00Dec 6, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.9KDec 6, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Dec 6, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$2.00Dec 6, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$2.00Dec 6, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$945.00Dec 6, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$979.07Dec 6, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Dec 6, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Dec 6, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Dec 6, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.0KDec 6, 09:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $450.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 07:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 02:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".