Watery-Gland-Selection
0xe327ef7dfc0c546f1667793ae0aa2eaced7ff4e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
141
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-53.56
Win rate
1%
135 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 141- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1188 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
1100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
1100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
1100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
1033 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7AM ET
922 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 30?
818 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$3.18Aug 5, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$3.20Aug 5, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.20Aug 5, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.07Aug 5, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.07Aug 5, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.07Aug 5, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.13Aug 5, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.48Aug 5, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$26.20Jul 30, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$3.14Jul 30, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$10.34Jul 30, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Jul 29, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.07Jul 29, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$16.29Jul 28, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$5.26Jul 28, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$2.14Jul 28, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$3.37Jul 28, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$28.96Jul 28, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$4.50Jul 28, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$4.65Jul 28, 08:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 135 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
135 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $8.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 21:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 09:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 135 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.