0xe32933b4602ab963b5233eebad06e53905374adb
0xe32933b4602ab963b5233eebad06e53905374adb
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$231.89
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$-220.31
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?
176 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$176.47
$26.47
- SPORTING CP
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)
55 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$55.43
$5.54
- YES
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by February 13, 2026?
625 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on February 13?
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?
246 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-149.98
- NO
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be at least $10.0B at market close on IPO day?
240 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-148.80
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 2?
190 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?
181 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-149.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on May 14?
179 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-149.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$1.01Jun 22, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$5.67Jun 22, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$1.10Jun 22, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$1.10Jun 22, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$9.34Jun 22, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$5.10Jun 22, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$17.85Jun 22, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$4.25Jun 22, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$5.10Jun 22, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$19.55Jun 22, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$9.35Jun 22, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$6.80Jun 22, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 22?$180.72Jun 22, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$7.65Jun 22, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$11.90Jun 22, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$12.75Jun 22, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$21.25Jun 22, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 23?$10.23Jun 22, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 22?$25.91Jun 21, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 22?$22.13Jun 21, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $36.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 01:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 16:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.