Harmful-Waist
0xe32b5b0890e04d526eba49040777e58c23174bac
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 20?
525 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
4 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$124.76Feb 27, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$124.64Feb 15, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$124.64Feb 15, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$124.52Feb 10, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?$124.51Feb 10, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?$124.39Feb 4, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.60 in January?$1.00Feb 4, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?$1.01Feb 4, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$1.01Feb 4, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?$121.37Feb 4, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?$121.13Feb 1, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$121.09Feb 1, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.60 in January?$1.00Jan 29, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?$1.00Jan 29, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$1.00Jan 29, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$120.00Jan 29, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.04Jan 29, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.53Jan 29, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$120.12Jan 29, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$120.00Jan 21, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $94.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 08:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.