0xe32c446b18bec443f41e1f5728add7151be5d956
0xe32c446b18bec443f41e1f5728add7151be5d956
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.02
Total PnL
$-11.60
Realised
$-1.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Germany win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
9 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 13?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UNDER
Kazuma Okamoto: Home Runs O/U 0.5
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 29?$5.05Jul 29, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 29?$5.00Jul 29, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?$5.00Jul 29, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKazuma Okamoto: Home Runs O/U 0.5$5.00Jul 28, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kingborough Lions United FC win on 2026-07-26?$5.05Jul 26, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kingborough Lions United FC win on 2026-07-26?$5.00Jul 25, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill DSV TGI Gold Leoben win on 2026-07-24?$5.06Jul 24, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DSV TGI Gold Leoben win on 2026-07-24?$5.00Jul 24, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 20?$5.05Jul 21, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 20?$5.00Jul 20, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMHarry Kane: 3+ goals$5.05Jul 18, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 3+ goals$5.00Jul 18, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Fredrikstad FK (-2.5)$5.05Jul 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Fredrikstad FK (-2.5)$5.00Jul 17, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 14?$5.05Jul 14, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 14?$5.00Jul 14, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Shandong Taishan FC 0 - 3 Yunnan Yukun FC?$5.06Jul 10, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Shandong Taishan FC 0 - 3 Yunnan Yukun FC?$5.00Jul 9, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Mustard" 10+ times during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?$5.05Jul 5, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Mustard" 10+ times during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?$5.00Jul 4, 22:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 02:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 22:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.