Easy-Oven
0xe32d08eb0be78dec62a0bbc6c5cdc91252d9dbbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-499.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?
5359 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.80
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
2500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-64.50
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
1000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
1000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
668 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.18
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
622 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
500 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.50
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?
300 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$23.00Jan 18, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?$11.00Jan 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$15.00Jan 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$75.00Sep 30, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$120.00Sep 17, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$28.50Aug 21, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$40.00Aug 16, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$0.01Aug 14, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$0.01Aug 14, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$0.01Aug 14, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$0.01Aug 14, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$0.01Aug 14, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$0.01Aug 14, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$0.01Aug 14, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$0.01Aug 14, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$0.01Aug 14, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$0.15Aug 14, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$0.02Aug 14, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?$4.00Aug 14, 10:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 11:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 15:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.