Keen-Runaway
0xe33c46e9f3bd10eb5be29a808944f7ceb331356c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?
701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 22?
701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 1?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 4?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?$77.48Jun 8, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?$77.40Jun 7, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$77.28Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$77.20May 30, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$77.38May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$77.31May 25, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$77.28May 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$77.21May 21, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$77.24May 14, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$77.10May 14, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$77.08May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$77.00May 11, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?$76.98May 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?$76.90May 8, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$76.08May 8, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$76.00Apr 30, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 30, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?$78.88Apr 30, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?$78.81Apr 26, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?$1.51Apr 26, 07:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $59.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 03:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.