Squiggly-Rent
0xe34828482efa797a5b5e3529a990566faa4b67e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
274 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.74
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 12, 2026?
78 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 13, 2026?
45 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 1, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$323.00Jan 24, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$29.78Jan 24, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$52.30Jan 23, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$50.00Jan 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$28.60Jan 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$26.25Jan 22, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?$26.21Jan 22, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5.70Jan 22, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?$5.77Jan 21, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?$6.29Jan 19, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?$4.86Jan 19, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?$0.73Jan 17, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?$0.70Jan 16, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?$0.27Jan 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?$0.81Jan 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?$0.73Jan 15, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?$0.47Jan 15, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?$0.21Jan 15, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?$0.02Jan 15, 09:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $17.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 07:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.