Cheerful-Millstone
0xe353cbd548d4d0ce944658a7f38dbaca754cd040
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$20.92
Total PnL
$-524.52
Realised
$2.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 31?
11 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.00
$1.54
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.92
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on December 9?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-14.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on December 22?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-19.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 17?
94 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-41.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 19?
83 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-29.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 26?
74 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on December 5?
73 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on December 18?
73 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-36.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 12?
71 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-24.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$8.60May 24, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$1.65May 24, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 31?$9.46Dec 31, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 31?$19.20Dec 31, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 31?$2.82Dec 31, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 31?$6.90Dec 31, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 31?$9.76Dec 31, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 31?$9.87Dec 31, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 27?$9.00Dec 31, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C or higher on December 27?$11.00Dec 31, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 30?$12.00Dec 31, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 27?$12.00Dec 31, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 28?$13.00Dec 31, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 30?$18.00Dec 31, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 29?$22.00Dec 31, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 29?$25.00Dec 31, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 27?$25.28Dec 31, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 30?$9.66Dec 28, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 30?$9.90Dec 28, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 29?$14.75Dec 28, 05:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 03:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 15:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".