Chief-Ashtray
0xe356594d86eebce1141322555f2553d4928e625a
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$27.65
Total PnL
$4.43
Realised
$-3.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- REDEEM Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?$12.70Jul 20, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?$67.92Jul 20, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?$33.14Jul 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?$33.15Jul 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?$37.81Jul 17, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?$37.80Jul 17, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?$33.22Jul 16, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?$33.22Jul 16, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?$32.15Jul 16, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?$24.95Jul 16, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$3.00Jul 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$0.38Jul 15, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$9.82Jul 15, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$3.86Jul 15, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$3.86Jul 15, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$4.05Jul 15, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?$0.95Jul 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Yemen by Friday?$1.21Jul 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELL25% Japan tariff in effect by August 1?$1.89Jul 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$10.09Jul 15, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 18:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 16:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.