Conventional-Instrument
0xe356fbe870e3aaa748feec407590c31895b0437e
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-619.35
Realised
$11.28
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
10542 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-109.98
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
8351 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-338.71
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
431 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.34
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
366 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $121K on July 21?
110 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch?
90 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?
84 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Solana above $150 on July 16?
62 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$38.34Jul 22, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$38.25Jul 22, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$15.60Jul 21, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$65.00Jul 21, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$15.00Jul 21, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$10.00Jul 21, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $121K on July 21?$11.00Jul 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4200 in July?$21.00Jul 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$40.00Jul 20, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez $235.05Jul 20, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier$363.27Jul 20, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov$734.55Jul 20, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull $285.71Jul 20, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull $100.00Jul 20, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez $40.00Jul 20, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$50.00Jul 20, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov$200.00Jul 20, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier$200.00Jul 20, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuber$380.12Jul 20, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuber$375.90Jul 20, 02:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $93.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 11:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".