Complex-Diarist
0xe35956359143449ffd1df1507b3f9c0b21f2e7f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.69
Total PnL
$-298.23
Realised
$11.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- BARBORA KREJCIKOVA
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
297 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-111.33
- BETBOOM TEAM
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
97 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-05-03?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?
19 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-22?
19 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- CRYSTAL PALACE FC
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-03?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- LIVERPOOL FC
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)
14 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- GABRIELA RUSE
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakina
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?$1.25Jul 23, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)$1.27Jul 23, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?$1.28Jul 23, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill San Diego FC win on 2026-07-22?$1.35Jul 23, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill D.C. United SC win on 2026-07-22?$1.25Jul 23, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill CF Montréal win on 2026-07-22?$1.16Jul 23, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atlanta United FC win on 2026-07-22?$1.37Jul 23, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-22?$1.27Jul 23, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMConnecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever$1.20Jul 23, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?$1.01Jul 23, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando City SC win on 2026-07-22?$1.01Jul 23, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)$1.01Jul 23, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?$1.01Jul 23, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?$1.30Jul 23, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill New York Red Bulls win on 2026-07-22?$1.30Jul 23, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?$1.28Jul 23, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)$1.23Jul 23, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Sky vs. New York Liberty$1.33Jul 23, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Diego FC win on 2026-07-22?$1.01Jul 23, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-30?$1.39Jul 23, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 00:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 04:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.