Speedy-Preference
0xe35ad4ebe7b611c470da91b29527ff4dad1ee615
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.3K
Realised
$-14.6K
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
21499 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.0K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 16?
20000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 15?
11893 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-39.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 31°F or below on February 16?
9741 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-29.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 14?
8704 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or below on February 9?
8393 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-17.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on February 9?
6605 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-118.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 31?
6548 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-417.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 15?
5630 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-269.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on January 31?
5461 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-41.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?$3.82Apr 1, 16:08 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on April 2?$48.93Apr 1, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 1?$3.65Apr 1, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on April 2?$48.83Apr 1, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on April 2?$0.95Apr 1, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on April 2?$3.00Apr 1, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitBoy convicted?$288.00Mar 31, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$648.73Mar 31, 05:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.97Mar 30, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$80.11Mar 29, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$294.27Mar 29, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$17.31Mar 29, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$111.31Mar 29, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$55.04Mar 29, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 29, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 29, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$16.31Mar 29, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$72.01Mar 29, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$574.21Mar 29, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$394.82Mar 29, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $126.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 16:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.