Palatable-Fruit
0xe35c4893617d04611ed5ab557330733649b387d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$9.08
Total PnL
$-147.88
Realised
$-0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$5.38
$0.38
- YES
US government shutdown by October 1?
4 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$3.70
$0.44
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
9000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-36.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
217 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-111.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 50.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?$5.00Sep 30, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$3.26Sep 30, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iraq by Sunday?$0.00Sep 30, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?$0.00Sep 30, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iraq by Sunday?$0.11Sep 30, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?$0.13Sep 30, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$36.00Oct 10, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?$0.10Oct 6, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel target an Iranian oil or gas facility?$0.00Oct 5, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military response against Iran by Friday?$1.02Oct 5, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Binance or Bybit list $MOODENG by Friday?$2.00Oct 5, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iraq by Sunday?$0.10Oct 5, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iraq by Sunday?$0.10Oct 5, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military response against Iran by Friday?$0.10Oct 5, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona beat Texas Tech?$0.02Oct 4, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 150 times October 4-11?$0.02Oct 4, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military response against Iran by Friday?$1.00Oct 4, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Binance or Bybit list $MOODENG by Friday?$2.00Oct 4, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWho will speak more at VP Debate?$0.00Oct 4, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?$0.00Oct 4, 19:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $21.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 30, 19:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.