White-Instant
0xe35da822997dd3aeb1d7304d0d807c63d9110de2
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
173
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$-835.72
Win rate
4%
107 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 173- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
1000 shares @ 42.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$384.98
$-35.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
1000 shares @ 28.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$205.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
200 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$165.00
$7.00
- YES
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?
200 shares @ 59.1¢·now 61.6¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$123.20
$5.00
- NO
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?
100 shares @ 84.1¢·now 84.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$84.05
$-0.05
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
100 shares @ 71.1¢·now 74.3¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$74.29
$3.20
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
1511 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-360.50
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-71.00
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- NO
Will "Left" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
400 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-399.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?$43.16Aug 21, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?$15.17Aug 21, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?$0.22Aug 21, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?$3.59Aug 21, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?$8.96Aug 21, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?$84.10Aug 21, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?$32.54Aug 21, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?$158.00Aug 21, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?$118.20Aug 21, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$78.53Aug 20, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$120.27Aug 20, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$200.00Aug 20, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$198.29Aug 20, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$80.91Aug 19, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$109.09Aug 19, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$599.40Aug 18, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$34.90Aug 18, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$27.99Aug 16, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$41.20Aug 16, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?$359.92Aug 15, 18:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 107 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
107 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $128.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 14:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 15:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 107 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.