Antique-Toothpaste
0xe36220b36cbdaf5d236e4fba723e6092abcc0a47
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-99.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in April 2026?
5777 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.78
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 22?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on March 10?
225 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?
223 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.68
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 23?
221 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.87
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 26?
218 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 7?
211 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
200 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 30?
192 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 25?
187 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 25?$1.40Jul 24, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 17?$68.93Jul 17, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 17?$0.17Jul 16, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 17?$0.09Jul 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 17?$66.11Jul 16, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 8?$3.67Jul 7, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 7?$1.81Jul 6, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 5?$90.00Jun 5, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 5?$88.38Jun 4, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?$82.70May 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?$0.06May 25, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?$0.16May 25, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?$0.07May 25, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?$80.34May 25, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?$1.22May 13, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 12?$89.39May 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 12?$87.87May 11, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$2.87May 10, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $90 April 20-26?$85.13Apr 27, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 April 20-26?$0.13Apr 27, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $21.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 23:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.