Brave-Punch
0xe362d2f078f2d163f22d4f4aef28979b32fc602b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$42.28
Total PnL
$-197.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
80 shares @ 40.5¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2028$13.60
$-18.80
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?
60 shares @ 44.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$11.10
$-15.30
- YES
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
50 shares @ 31.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.00
$-6.50
- NO
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?
16 shares @ 70.0¢·now 23.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.74
$-7.27
- YES
Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2
20 shares @ 34.0¢·now 11.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.32
$-4.48
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 88.6¢·now 36.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.98
$-2.79
- YES
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026?
20 shares @ 17.1¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.46
$-2.92
- YES
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
50 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.07
$-1.13
- NO
Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?
240 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.80
- YES
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?$28.80Jul 14, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?$0.90Jul 14, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?$34.00Jul 14, 03:31 UTC
- REWARD$7.10Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?$13.20Jul 11, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$23.40Jul 11, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?$5.18Jul 11, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?$2.30Jul 11, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?$13.40Jul 11, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?$13.60Jul 11, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?$6.00Jul 11, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?$6.20Jul 11, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?$12.60Jul 11, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?$12.80Jul 11, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,185,000 and $1,201,000 on September 30?$14.96Jul 11, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2$22.50Jul 11, 05:22 UTC
- REWARD$1.82Jul 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$7.40Jul 10, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$7.60Jul 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$8.00Jul 10, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $16.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 03:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.