Ornate-Yellowjacket
0xe363e391ac11e89a086a1d638084ce74c2a113f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$8.73
Total PnL
$-25.18
Realised
$5.00
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.78
$0.78
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
15 shares @ 36.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$2.40
$-2.83
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
12 shares @ 17.4¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 20.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
- YES
Trump out as President in 2025?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.74Apr 24, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.00Jan 22, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.05Jan 22, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$1.00Jan 5, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by March 31?$1.00Jan 5, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$1.00Jan 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.00Dec 9, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$1.00Dec 9, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: December$3.71Dec 9, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.00Dec 9, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$1.00Dec 9, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?$2.38Dec 9, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.00Dec 3, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: December$2.54Dec 3, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$0.45Nov 24, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?$2.14Nov 23, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI bubble burst in 2026?$1.00Nov 23, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00Nov 23, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Nov 23, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 10:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.