Legal-Dragonfly
0xe3696fc1b26b757a9dc88ccfc044a700382d6fab
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-244.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Ethereum above 1,760 on June 4, 2PM ET?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 15?
17 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.64
- NO
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 4, 2PM ET?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 25?
15 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 25?
15 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 14?
14 shares @ 64.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 28?
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 28?
12 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 27?
11 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 14?
11 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?$36.42Jul 19, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?$28.37Jul 18, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 87°F or below on July 17?$35.95Jul 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 87°F or below on July 17?$33.55Jul 17, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 16?$32.86Jul 17, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 16?$21.36Jul 16, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?$20.00Jul 16, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?$10.85Jul 15, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 14?$12.01Jul 15, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 14?$8.89Jul 14, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 14?$9.27Jul 14, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 13?$5.67Jul 14, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 13?$15.03Jul 14, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 15?$11.82Jul 14, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 13?$6.80Jul 14, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 13?$5.00Jul 14, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 13?$3.31Jul 13, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 13?$3.92Jul 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 14?$6.11Jul 13, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 13?$13.74Jul 13, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $9.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 06:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.