0xe36a6a2709dc72475d431e1bb33547a0a26e671d
0xe36a6a2709dc72475d431e1bb33547a0a26e671d
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$13.21
Total PnL
$-33.74
Realised
$-33.79
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.46
$0.00
- NO
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.68
$0.01
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.01
- NO
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.01
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.72May 29, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?$35.33May 29, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$1.61May 29, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?$35.39May 29, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?$5.38May 29, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.10May 29, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out by June 30, 2026?$1.64May 29, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.95May 29, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$4.06May 29, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$7.83May 29, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.40May 29, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.07May 29, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.69May 29, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.17May 29, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.77May 29, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$4.35May 29, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.72May 29, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.21May 29, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.14May 29, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.