Distorted-Dude
0xe36f5735f5bc12c36b361a599e8603d56f7ccd91
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$148.3K
Total PnL
$-9.6K
Realised
$42.1K
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
107427 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$103.5K
$9.0K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
15259 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.0K
$206.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
5875 shares @ 71.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.8K
$675.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
3798 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.7K
$244.97
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
10000 shares @ 31.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$3.3K
$250.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
3409 shares @ 95.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.3K
$64.77
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
3420 shares @ 94.5¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.3K
$64.99
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
5702 shares @ 54.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.1K
$28.52
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
3167 shares @ 96.5¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.1K
$42.76
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
10000 shares @ 19.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$2.0K
$150.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$12.79Aug 1, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$11.74Aug 1, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$54.00Aug 1, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$54.00Aug 1, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$54.00Aug 1, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$5.87Aug 1, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$5.87Aug 1, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$10.84Aug 1, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$25.92Aug 1, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$1.29Aug 1, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 15?$545.34Aug 1, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$34.02Aug 1, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$1.33Aug 1, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$41.36Aug 1, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$7.04Aug 1, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$287.23Aug 1, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$358.26Aug 1, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$21.13Aug 1, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$6.89Aug 1, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$2.1KAug 1, 10:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$135.2K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 22, 20:50 UTC → Jul 8, 17:08 UTC
- BUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$13.0K@97¢May 22, 20:41 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
4 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
$94.5K · 70% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $199.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 12:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.