Right-Proceedings-Diplomacy
0xe3795a6766c529ae034b5020aecc767afca0d124
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$200.62
Total PnL
$44.37
Realised
$41.18
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1690 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.03
$-2.76
- YES
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
1836 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$21.12
$0.86
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1275 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.94
$-0.24
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4230 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.80
$4.74
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
725 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.96
$-3.04
- YES
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
313 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$11.44
$-0.04
- YES
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
325 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$10.07
$0.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
305 shares @ 2.3¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.30
$2.44
- YES
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?
245 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$8.94
$0.47
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
750 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.62
$0.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.43Jun 23, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.74Jun 23, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.41Jun 23, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.59Jun 23, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.54Jun 23, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.60Jun 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.88Jun 23, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.74Jun 23, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.34Jun 23, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.76Jun 23, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.01Jun 23, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.04Jun 23, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.01Jun 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.01Jun 23, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 06:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 22:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.