Right-Proceedings-Diplomacy
0xe3795a6766c529ae034b5020aecc767afca0d124
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
144
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$176.63
Realised
$349.91
Win rate
88%
73 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 144- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
257 shares @ 47.4¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.13
$-35.84
- YES
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?
8535 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$38.41
$-3.73
- YES
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
2008 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$37.15
$2.93
- YES
Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
1088 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.4¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$36.43
$1.06
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
105 shares @ 38.2¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.13
$-6.02
- YES
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open?
5775 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$31.76
$-0.20
- YES
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?
2298 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$29.88
$-5.18
- YES
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?
1304 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$27.92
$5.63
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
495 shares @ 11.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$27.22
$-29.22
- YES
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
812 shares @ 2.4¢·now 3.4¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$27.20
$7.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. San Diego Padres$2.82Aug 8, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$4.01Aug 8, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s US Open?$1.33Aug 8, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?$3.60Aug 8, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?$1.06Aug 8, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?$0.28Aug 8, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$1.02Aug 8, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$3.00Aug 8, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$0.48Aug 8, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.63Aug 8, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.63Aug 8, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.60Aug 8, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jiri Lehecka Win the Cincinnati Open?$0.01Aug 8, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lorenzo Musetti Win the Cincinnati Open?$0.01Aug 8, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex de Minaur Win the Cincinnati Open?$0.01Aug 8, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli Win the Cincinnati Open?$0.01Aug 8, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jiri Lehecka Win the Cincinnati Open?$0.05Aug 8, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lorenzo Musetti Win the Cincinnati Open?$0.05Aug 8, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex de Minaur Win the Cincinnati Open?$0.05Aug 8, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli Win the Cincinnati Open?$0.05Aug 8, 17:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 73 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
73 closed markets, 88% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 21:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 22:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 73 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.