Glossy-Mattress-Genius
0xe37ab1dd6fff5cea8dac4597a5ac088536cbdda4
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-236.34
Realised
$-4.39
Win rate
1%
140 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 22?
533 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?
491 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 22?
402 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 22?
385 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 22?
244 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?
86 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?
79 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 22?
71 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?
57 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?
57 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 9?$0.06Jul 9, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 9?$0.06Jul 9, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 9?$0.14Jul 9, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 9?$0.08Jul 9, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?$2.25Jul 9, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?$1.94Jul 9, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?$1.95Jul 9, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?$1.04Jul 9, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?$0.00Jul 9, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?$0.91Jul 9, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?$4.94Jul 9, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?$4.31Jul 9, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?$0.11Jul 9, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?$3.50Jul 9, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?$2.95Jul 9, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?$6.29Jul 8, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 8?$2.87Jul 8, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 8?$0.13Jul 8, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?$5.09Jul 8, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 8?$1.31Jul 8, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 140 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
140 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 14:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 15:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 140 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.