Gummy-Vintage
0xe384d8f17951aba6c298e09c69a831b4c6955b0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-82.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 31?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
S&P 500 all time high by April 30, 2026?
170 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 17?
166 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 6?
17 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?
17 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?
17 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?
13 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 27?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
12 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 21?$2.63Jul 22, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on July 20?$1.35Jul 20, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 21?$2.02Jul 20, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 21?$1.01Jul 20, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?$1.01Jul 19, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?$1.29Jul 19, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 19?$1.31Jul 19, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 19?$1.40Jul 19, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 19?$1.69Jul 19, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on July 20?$1.01Jul 19, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?$1.40Jul 18, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 19?$1.01Jul 18, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 19?$1.01Jul 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 18?$1.32Jul 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 18?$1.38Jul 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 19?$1.02Jul 18, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?$1.01Jul 18, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 17?$1.35Jul 17, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 18?$1.01Jul 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 18?$1.01Jul 17, 09:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 04:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.